{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","generatedAt":"2026-07-28T06:20:51.496Z","headline":"Anthropic 首席经济学家：短期内 AI 不会取代大量工作岗位","description":"Anthropic 首席经济学家彼得·麦克罗里表示，AI 迄今未导致失业率明显上升，因其更多是增强而非替代人类劳动，且 Claude Fable 5 等模型在人际协调、面对面交流等任务上仍无法独立完成。他预计至少未来一年内 AI 不会对整体失业率造成实质性影响。企业家马克·库班则认为，AI 在理解行为后果和实时判断现场方面\"可能永远无法\"超越人类，企业应最大化\"人机协作\"优势。","url":"https://www.aioga.com/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","mainEntityOfPage":"https://www.aioga.com/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","datePublished":"2026-07-23T13:07:09.000Z","dateModified":"2026-07-23T13:07:09.000Z","inLanguage":"zh-CN","publisher":{"@type":"NewsMediaOrganization","name":"Aioga","url":"https://www.aioga.com"},"citation":["https://www.ithome.com/0/980/838.htm","https://aihot.virxact.com/items/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha"],"canonicalUrl":"https://www.aioga.com/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","directAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Aioga 编辑摘要：Anthropic 首席经济学家彼得·麦克罗里表示，AI 迄今未导致失业率明显上升，因其更多是增强而非替代人类劳动，且 Claude Fable 5 等模型在人际协调、面对面交流等任务上仍无法独立完成。 Aioga 将其归入「技巧观点」方向，重点关注它对真实使用和行业竞争的影响。","url":"https://www.aioga.com/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","dateCreated":"2026-07-23T13:07:09.000Z","author":{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https://www.aioga.com/authors/aioga-editorial/#editorial-team","name":"Aioga Editorial Team","url":"https://www.aioga.com/authors/aioga-editorial/"}},"evidence":[{"@type":"CreativeWork","name":"IT之家 source article","url":"https://www.ithome.com/0/980/838.htm","datePublished":"2026-07-23T13:07:09.000Z","provider":{"@type":"Organization","name":"IT之家","url":"https://www.ithome.com/0/980/838.htm"}},{"@type":"CreativeWork","name":"AIHot archive 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在理解行为后果和实时判断现场方面\"可能永远无法\"超越人类，企业应最大化\"人机协作\"优势。","source":"IT之家（RSS）","sourceUrl":"https://www.ithome.com/0/980/838.htm","aiHotUrl":"https://aihot.virxact.com/items/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha","publishedAt":"2026-07-23T13:07:09.000Z","category":"技巧观点","score":54,"selected":false,"articleBody":["IT之家：https://www.ithome.com/ 7 月 23 日消息，Anthropic 首席经济学家彼得 · 麦克罗里（Peter McCrory）表示，目前人工智能尚未取代大量工作岗位，因为与完全替代人类相比，AI 与人类协作的效果更好。而美国亿万富翁马克 · 库班（Mark Cuban）则认为，这种情况可能永远都不会改变。","麦克罗里周三在 X 平台发文称，从目前掌握的情况来看，“人工智能迄今尚未导致失业率出现明显上升”，即便是在那些最容易受到 AI 自动化冲击的职业中，也没有出现显著变化。","作为打造顶级大语言模型之一 Claude Fable 5 的人工智能公司 Anthropic 的经济学负责人，麦克罗里表示，目前 AI 表现出“偏向高技能人才”和“增强劳动能力”的特征，也就是说，专业能力越强的人越能发挥 AI 的价值，而 AI 更多是在帮助人们提高工作效率，而不是取代他们。","他指出，AI 在许多领域仍无法独立完成工作。例如，Claude 目前无法胜任的一些任务，往往需要人与人之间的协调合作、面对面的交流，或是与现实物理世界互动，而这些能力目前仍只有人类具备。","不过，麦克罗里也提醒，随着 AI 模型不断进步，人类专业知识的重要性可能会逐渐下降。但他预计，至少在未来一年内，AI 不会对整体失业率造成实质性影响。","针对 Box 首席执行官亚伦 · 莱维（Aaron Levie）转发并评论麦克罗里的文章，科技企业家、前《创智赢家》（Shark Tank）投资人马克 · 库班也在 X 平台发表了自己的看法。","“AI 模型并不知道自己行为会带来什么后果，而人知道什么事情会让自己丢掉工作。”他说，“AI 模型获取信息存在延迟，而人类能够理解眼前正在发生的事情。”","库班表示，这两项能力“AI 在很长、很长、很长时间内都无法具备，甚至可能永远无法拥有”。","他指出，这些能力“对于企业的每一个商业决策都至关重要”，尤其是在判断现场氛围、揣摩他人反应等方面，也就是人们常说的“读懂现场”。","“如果把 AI 带来的生产力，与人类实时判断和决策能力结合起来，就能让双方的价值实现最大化。”库班写道。","他还表示，企业管理者需要思考如何充分发挥这种“人机协作”的优势，因为这不仅能够推动企业发展，还会成为重要的竞争优势。","库班曾在互联网泡沫时期，以近 60 亿美元（IT之家注：现汇率约合 406.89 亿元人民币）的价格将自己的网络广播公司出售给雅虎。近期，他曾警告称，随着能源效率不断提高，科技行业当前疯狂建设 AI 基础设施，未来可能导致算力过剩。他甚至调侃说，那些被淘汰的数据中心最后可能会被改造成“匹克球球场”。","尽管如此，库班仍多次强调，企业必须积极拥抱 AI，否则将失去竞争力。他曾在去年 2 月的一场大学活动中表示：“未来世界只会剩下两类公司：一类是善于利用 AI 的公司，另一类则会被前者淘汰。”"],"articleImages":[{"sourceUrl":"https://img.ithome.com/newsuploadfiles/2025/11/62b5ea8d-908b-4cef-8fe9-837cb9190d66.png?x-bce-process=image/format,f_auto","alt":"","afterParagraph":0,"url":"/media/articles/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/9964a74f467bca21.png"}],"mediaStatus":"ok","articleBodyZh":[],"translationStatus":"","bodyOrigin":"source-page","editorial":{"summary":"Aioga 编辑摘要：Anthropic 首席经济学家彼得·麦克罗里表示，AI 迄今未导致失业率明显上升，因其更多是增强而非替代人类劳动，且 Claude Fable 5 等模型在人际协调、面对面交流等任务上仍无法独立完成。 Aioga 将其归入「技巧观点」方向，重点关注它对真实使用和行业竞争的影响。","background":"背景分析：实践类内容的价值在于是否能被复现、是否有明确边界，以及它能否转化为稳定的开发或工作流方法。","viewpoint":"Aioga 判断：这条动态更适合作为行业观察信号，当前信息足以建立线索，但不足以推导长期结论。","implications":"影响分析：对相关团队而言，短期应先核对来源、可用范围和实际成本，再判断是否值得接入或跟进。","nextStep":"后续观察：继续观察示例是否可复现、工具版本变化、社区反馈和实际成本。","evidenceRefs":["title","summary","articleBody"],"confidence":"medium","status":"published","aiGenerated":false,"autoApproved":true,"generatedBy":"rule-safe-fallback","generatedAt":"2026-07-28T06:29:10.594Z","sourceHash":"9612f11ce17e85d9","validation":{"passed":true,"mode":"rule-safe-fallback","checks":["schema","length","source-attribution","no-html"]}},"tags":["技巧观点","IT之家（RSS）"],"translations":{"zh-CN":{"title":"Anthropic 首席经济学家：短期内 AI 不会取代大量工作岗位","summary":"Anthropic 首席经济学家彼得·麦克罗里表示，AI 迄今未导致失业率明显上升，因其更多是增强而非替代人类劳动，且 Claude Fable 5 等模型在人际协调、面对面交流等任务上仍无法独立完成。他预计至少未来一年内 AI 不会对整体失业率造成实质性影响。企业家马克·库班则认为，AI 在理解行为后果和实时判断现场方面\"可能永远无法\"超越人类，企业应最大化\"人机协作\"优势。","category":"技巧观点","source":"IT之家","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Anthropic 首席经济学家：短期内 AI 不会取代大量工作岗位 - Aioga AI资讯","description":"Anthropic 首席经济学家彼得·麦克罗里表示，AI 迄今未导致失业率明显上升，因其更多是增强而非替代人类劳动，且 Claude Fable 5 等模型在人际协调、面对面交流等任务上仍无法独立完成。他预计至少未来一年内 AI 不会对整体失业率造成实质性影响。企业家马克·库班则认为，AI 在理解行为后果和实时判断现场方面\"可能永远无法\"超越人类，企业应最大...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/"},"en":{"title":"Anthropic Chief Economist: AI will not replace a large number of jobs in the short term","summary":"Anthropic's Chief Economist Peter McElroy stated that AI has not so far caused a significant rise in unemployment because it mainly enhances rather than replaces human labor, and models like Claude Fable 5 are still unable to independently handle tasks involving interpersonal coordination and face-to-face communication. He expects that AI will not have a substantial impact on overall unemployment for at least the next year. Entrepreneur Mark Cuban, on the other hand, believes that AI may 'never' surpass humans in understanding the consequences of actions and making real-time judgments on-site, and that companies should maximize the advantages of 'human-AI collaboration.'","category":"Insights","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Anthropic Chief Economist: AI will not replace a large number of jobs in the short term - Aioga AI News","description":"Anthropic's Chief Economist Peter McElroy stated that AI has not so far caused a significant rise in unemployment because it mainly enhances rather than replaces human labor, and m...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/en/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:41:36.984Z"},"ja":{"title":"Anthropicのチーフエコノミスト：短期的にはAIが大量の職を代替することはない","summary":"Anthropicのチーフエコノミストであるピーター・マクロリーは、これまでのところAIは失業率の目立った上昇を引き起こしておらず、AIは人間の労働を置き換えるというよりも強化するものであると述べました。また、Claude Fable 5などのモデルは、人間同士の調整や対面でのコミュニケーションなどのタスクを独立して遂行することはまだできません。彼は少なくとも今後1年間はAIが全体の失業率に実質的な影響を及ぼすことはないと予測しています。起業家のマーク・キューバンは、AIは行動の結果を理解したり、その場でリアルタイムに判断する能力において「永遠に」人間を超えることはできない可能性があると考えており、企業は「人とAIの協働」の利点を最大化すべきだと述べています。","category":"ヒントと視点","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Anthropicのチーフエコノミスト：短期的にはAIが大量の職を代替することはない - Aioga AIニュース","description":"Anthropicのチーフエコノミストであるピーター・マクロリーは、これまでのところAIは失業率の目立った上昇を引き起こしておらず、AIは人間の労働を置き換えるというよりも強化するものであると述べました。また、Claude Fable 5などのモデルは、人間同士の調整や対面でのコミュニケーションなどのタスクを独立して遂行することはまだできません。彼は少なくと...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/ja/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:41:50.456Z"},"ko":{"title":"Anthropic 수석 경제학자: 단기적으로 AI가 많은 일자리를 대체하지 않을 것","summary":"Anthropic 수석 경제학자 피터 맥클로리는 AI가 현재까지 실업률을 크게 증가시키지 않았다고 밝혔습니다. 그 이유는 AI가 더 많이 인간의 노동을 대체하기보다는 강화하기 때문이며, Claude Fable 5 등 모델은 대인 조정이나 대면 소통과 같은 업무를 독립적으로 수행할 수 없기 때문입니다. 그는 최소한 향후 1년 동안 AI가 전체 실업률에 실질적인 영향을 미치지 않을 것으로 예상합니다. 기업가 마크 큐반은 AI가 행동 결과를 이해하고 현장을 실시간으로 판단하는 능력에서 '영원히' 인간을 능가할 수 없다고 믿으며, 기업은 '인간과 AI의 협업' 장점을 극대화해야 한다고 말합니다.","category":"인사이트","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Anthropic 수석 경제학자: 단기적으로 AI가 많은 일자리를 대체하지 않을 것 - Aioga AI 뉴스","description":"Anthropic 수석 경제학자 피터 맥클로리는 AI가 현재까지 실업률을 크게 증가시키지 않았다고 밝혔습니다. 그 이유는 AI가 더 많이 인간의 노동을 대체하기보다는 강화하기 때문이며, Claude Fable 5 등 모델은 대인 조정이나 대면 소통과 같은 업무를 독립적으로 수행할 수 없기 때문입니다. 그는 최소한 향후 1...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/ko/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:42:37.427Z"},"es":{"title":"Economista jefe de Anthropic: a corto plazo, la IA no reemplazará una gran cantidad de puestos de trabajo","summary":"Peter McElroy, economista jefe de Anthropic, señaló que hasta ahora la IA no ha provocado un aumento significativo del desempleo, ya que más bien potencia que reemplaza el trabajo humano, y modelos como Claude Fable 5 todavía no pueden realizar de forma independiente tareas como la coordinación interpersonal y la comunicación cara a cara. Él prevé que al menos durante el próximo año la IA no tendrá un impacto sustancial en la tasa de desempleo general. Por su parte, el empresario Mark Cuban considera que la IA \"quizás nunca\" pueda superar a los humanos en comprender las consecuencias de las acciones y en juzgar situaciones en tiempo real, por lo que las empresas deberían maximizar las ventajas de la \"colaboración humano-máquina\".","category":"Ideas","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Economista jefe de Anthropic: a corto plazo, la IA no reemplazará una gran cantidad de puestos de trabajo - Aioga Noticias de IA","description":"Peter McElroy, economista jefe de Anthropic, señaló que hasta ahora la IA no ha provocado un aumento significativo del desempleo, ya que más bien potencia que reemplaza el trabajo...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/es/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:42:27.094Z"},"fr":{"title":"Économiste en chef d'Anthropic : à court terme, l'IA ne remplacera pas de nombreux emplois","summary":"Le économiste en chef d'Anthropic, Peter McElroy, a déclaré que l'IA n'a jusqu'à présent pas entraîné de hausse significative du taux de chômage, car elle renforce davantage qu'elle ne remplace le travail humain, et que des modèles comme Claude Fable 5 ne sont toujours pas capables de réaliser de manière indépendante des tâches impliquant la coordination interpersonnelle ou la communication en face à face. Il prévoit que l'IA n'aura pas d'impact substantiel sur le taux de chômage global au moins pour l'année à venir. L'entrepreneur Mark Cuban, quant à lui, estime que l'IA pourrait « ne jamais » surpasser l'humain dans la compréhension des conséquences des comportements et le jugement en temps réel sur le terrain, et que les entreprises devraient maximiser les avantages de la « collaboration homme-machine ».","category":"Analyses","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Économiste en chef d'Anthropic : à court terme, l'IA ne remplacera pas de nombreux emplois - Aioga Actualités IA","description":"Le économiste en chef d'Anthropic, Peter McElroy, a déclaré que l'IA n'a jusqu'à présent pas entraîné de hausse significative du taux de chômage, car elle renforce davantage qu'ell...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/fr/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:43:18.569Z"},"de":{"title":"Chefökonom von Anthropic: Kurzfristig wird KI nicht viele Arbeitsplätze ersetzen","summary":"Anthropic-Chefökonom Peter McElroy erklärte, dass KI bisher nicht zu einem deutlichen Anstieg der Arbeitslosigkeit geführt habe, da sie eher die menschliche Arbeit verstärke als sie zu ersetzen, und dass Modelle wie Claude Fable 5 Aufgaben wie zwischenmenschliche Koordination und persönliche Kommunikation noch nicht selbstständig erledigen können. Er erwartet, dass KI in mindestens dem kommenden Jahr keine wesentlichen Auswirkungen auf die Gesamtarbeitslosigkeit haben wird. Unternehmer Mark Cuban hingegen ist der Ansicht, dass KI bei der Einschätzung von Verhaltensfolgen und der Echtzeitbeurteilung vor Ort \"vielleicht niemals\" den Menschen übertreffen könne, und Unternehmen sollten den Vorteil der \"Mensch-Maschine-Zusammenarbeit\" maximal nutzen.","category":"技巧观点","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Chefökonom von Anthropic: Kurzfristig wird KI nicht viele Arbeitsplätze ersetzen - Aioga KI-News","description":"Anthropic-Chefökonom Peter McElroy erklärte, dass KI bisher nicht zu einem deutlichen Anstieg der Arbeitslosigkeit geführt habe, da sie eher die menschliche Arbeit verstärke als si...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/de/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:43:16.509Z"},"pt-BR":{"title":"Economista-chefe da Anthropic: A IA não substituirá muitos empregos no curto prazo","summary":"Peter McElroy, economista-chefe da Anthropic, afirmou que, até agora, a IA não causou um aumento significativo na taxa de desemprego, pois ela mais reforça do que substitui o trabalho humano, e modelos como Claude Fable 5 ainda não conseguem realizar de forma independente tarefas que envolvem coordenação interpessoal ou comunicação face a face. Ele prevê que, pelo menos no próximo ano, a IA não terá um impacto substancial na taxa geral de desemprego. Já o empresário Mark Cuban acredita que a IA, ao compreender as consequências do comportamento e ao fazer julgamentos em tempo real no local, \"talvez nunca\" consiga superar os humanos, e as empresas devem maximizar as vantagens da \"colaboração humano-IA\".","category":"技巧观点","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Economista-chefe da Anthropic: A IA não substituirá muitos empregos no curto prazo - Aioga Notícias de IA","description":"Peter McElroy, economista-chefe da Anthropic, afirmou que, até agora, a IA não causou um aumento significativo na taxa de desemprego, pois ela mais reforça do que substitui o traba...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/pt-BR/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:44:04.568Z"},"ru":{"title":"Главный экономист Anthropic: В ближайшее время ИИ не заменит большое количество рабочих мест","summary":"Главный экономист Anthropic Питер Маклори заявил, что до настоящего времени ИИ не привел к заметному росту безработицы, так как он больше усиливает, чем заменяет человеческий труд, и модели вроде Claude Fable 5 по-прежнему не могут самостоятельно выполнять задачи, связанные с межличностной координацией и непосредственным общением. Он ожидает, что, по крайней мере в течение следующего года, ИИ не окажет существенного влияния на общий уровень безработицы. Предприниматель Марк Кубан считает, что ИИ в понимании последствий поведения и в реальном времени принятии решений на месте \"возможно никогда не сможет\" превзойти человека, и предприятия должны максимально использовать преимущества \"человек-ИИ сотрудничества\".","category":"技巧观点","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Главный экономист Anthropic: В ближайшее время ИИ не заменит большое количество рабочих мест - Aioga Новости ИИ","description":"Главный экономист Anthropic Питер Маклори заявил, что до настоящего времени ИИ не привел к заметному росту безработицы, так как он больше усиливает, чем заменяет человеческий труд,...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/ru/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:44:04.215Z"},"ar":{"title":"كبير الاقتصاديين في Anthropic: لن تحل الذكاء الاصطناعي محل عدد كبير من الوظائف في المدى القصير","summary":"قال بيتر ماكرولي، كبير الاقتصاديين في شركة Anthropic، إن الذكاء الاصطناعي حتى الآن لم يتسبب في ارتفاع ملحوظ في معدل البطالة، لأنه يعزز العمل البشري أكثر مما يستبدله، ونماذج مثل Claude Fable 5 لا تزال غير قادرة على أداء مهام التنسيق بين الأشخاص والتواصل وجهًا لوجه بشكل مستقل. ويتوقع أنه على الأقل خلال العام القادم، لن يؤثر الذكاء الاصطناعي بشكل جوهري على معدل البطالة العام. ويعتقد رائد الأعمال مارك كوبان أن الذكاء الاصطناعي في فهم عواقب السلوك واتخاذ القرارات الفورية في الموقع قد \"لا يتجاوز\" البشر أبدًا، ويجب على الشركات تعظيم ميزة \"التعاون بين الإنسان والآلة\".","category":"技巧观点","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"كبير الاقتصاديين في Anthropic: لن تحل الذكاء الاصطناعي محل عدد كبير من الوظائف في المدى القصير - Aioga أخبار الذكاء الاصطناعي","description":"قال بيتر ماكرولي، كبير الاقتصاديين في شركة Anthropic، إن الذكاء الاصطناعي حتى الآن لم يتسبب في ارتفاع ملحوظ في معدل البطالة، لأنه يعزز العمل البشري أكثر مما يستبدله، ونماذج مثل Cla...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/ar/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:45:01.887Z"},"hi":{"title":"Anthropic के प्रमुख अर्थशास्त्री: अल्पकाल में एआई बड़ी संख्या में नौकरियों की जगह नहीं लेगा","summary":"Anthropic के मुख्य अर्थशास्त्री पीटर मैक्रोरी ने कहा कि अब तक AI ने बेरोजगारी दर में明显 वृद्धि नहीं की है, क्योंकि यह ज्यादातर मानव श्रम को बढ़ावा देता है न कि बदलता है, और Claude Fable 5 जैसी मॉडल अभी भी मानव समन्वय, आमने-सामने संवाद जैसी कार्यों को स्वतंत्र रूप से पूरा करने में असमर्थ हैं। उनका अनुमान है कि कम से कम अगले एक साल तक AI समग्र बेरोजगारी दर पर कोई वास्तविक प्रभाव नहीं डालेगा। उद्यमी मार्क क्यूबन का मानना है कि AI व्यवहार के परिणामों को समझने और现场 पर वास्तविक समय में निर्णय लेने में \"शायद कभी भी\" मानव को पार न कर सके, इसलिए कंपनियों को \"मानव-यंत्र सहयोग\" के लाभ को अधिकतम करना चाहिए।","category":"技巧观点","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Anthropic के प्रमुख अर्थशास्त्री: अल्पकाल में एआई बड़ी संख्या में नौकरियों की जगह नहीं लेगा - Aioga AI समाचार","description":"Anthropic के मुख्य अर्थशास्त्री पीटर मैक्रोरी ने कहा कि अब तक AI ने बेरोजगारी दर में明显 वृद्धि नहीं की है, क्योंकि यह ज्यादातर मानव श्रम को बढ़ावा देता है न कि बदलता है, और Claude F...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/hi/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:44:48.669Z"},"it":{"title":"Economista capo di Anthropic: a breve termine l'IA non sostituirà un gran numero di posti di lavoro","summary":"Peter McElroy, capo economista di Anthropic, ha dichiarato che finora l'IA non ha provocato un aumento significativo del tasso di disoccupazione, poiché essa tende più a potenziare che a sostituire il lavoro umano, e modelli come Claude Fable 5 non sono ancora in grado di svolgere in modo autonomo compiti che richiedono coordinazione interpersonale e interazioni faccia a faccia. Prevede che almeno per il prossimo anno l'IA non avrà un impatto sostanziale sul tasso generale di disoccupazione. L'imprenditore Mark Cuban ritiene invece che l'IA, nella comprensione delle conseguenze dei comportamenti e nella valutazione in tempo reale delle situazioni, 'potrebbe non superare mai' l'umano, e le aziende dovrebbero massimizzare il vantaggio della 'collaborazione uomo-macchina'.","category":"技巧观点","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Economista capo di Anthropic: a breve termine l'IA non sostituirà un gran numero di posti di lavoro - Aioga Notizie IA","description":"Peter McElroy, capo economista di Anthropic, ha dichiarato che finora l'IA non ha provocato un aumento significativo del tasso di disoccupazione, poiché essa tende più a potenziare...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/it/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:45:44.842Z"},"nl":{"title":"Hoofdeconoom van Anthropic: AI zal op korte termijn geen groot aantal banen vervangen","summary":"Peter McElroy, hoofdeconoom van Anthropic, verklaarde dat AI tot nu toe niet heeft geleid tot een duidelijke stijging van de werkloosheid, omdat het meer een versterking is dan een vervanging van menselijke arbeid, en modellen zoals Claude Fable 5 kunnen taken op het gebied van coördinatie tussen mensen en face-to-face communicatie nog steeds niet zelfstandig uitvoeren. Hij verwacht dat AI minstens het komende jaar geen substantiële impact zal hebben op de totale werkloosheid. Ondernemer Mark Cuban is van mening dat AI \"mogelijk nooit\" menselijke capaciteiten zal overtreffen bij het begrijpen van gedragsgevolgen en het realtime beoordelen van situaties op locatie, en dat bedrijven het voordeel van \"mens-machine samenwerking\" maximaal moeten benutten.","category":"技巧观点","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Hoofdeconoom van Anthropic: AI zal op korte termijn geen groot aantal banen vervangen - Aioga AI-nieuws","description":"Peter McElroy, hoofdeconoom van Anthropic, verklaarde dat AI tot nu toe niet heeft geleid tot een duidelijke stijging van de werkloosheid, omdat het meer een versterking is dan een...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/nl/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:45:50.617Z"},"tr":{"title":"Anthropic Baş Ekonomisti: Kısa vadede yapay zeka pek çok işi devralmayacak","summary":"Anthropic'in baş ekonomisti Peter McElroy, bugüne kadar yapay zekanın işsizlik oranında belirgin bir artışa yol açmadığını, çünkü yapay zekanın daha çok insan emeğini tamamladığını, yerine geçmediğini ve Claude Fable 5 gibi modellerin hâlâ kişiler arası koordinasyon ve yüz yüze iletişim gibi görevleri bağımsız olarak yerine getiremediğini belirtti. Önümüzdeki en az bir yıl boyunca yapay zekanın genel işsizlik oranı üzerinde kayda değer bir etkisi olmasını beklemiyor. Girişimci Mark Cuban ise, yapay zekanın davranış sonuçlarını anlayıp sahadaki durumu anlık değerlendirme konusunda 'belki de hiçbir zaman' insanı geçemeyeceğini ve işletmelerin 'insan-makine işbirliği' avantajını maksimize etmeleri gerektiğini düşünüyor.","category":"技巧观点","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Anthropic Baş Ekonomisti: Kısa vadede yapay zeka pek çok işi devralmayacak - Aioga AI Haberleri","description":"Anthropic'in baş ekonomisti Peter McElroy, bugüne kadar yapay zekanın işsizlik oranında belirgin bir artışa yol açmadığını, çünkü yapay zekanın daha çok insan emeğini tamamladığını...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/tr/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:46:34.824Z"},"vi":{"title":"Nhà kinh tế học trưởng của Anthropic: Trong thời gian ngắn, AI sẽ không thay thế nhiều vị trí công việc","summary":"Nhà kinh tế trưởng của Anthropic, Peter McElroy, cho biết AI cho đến nay chưa gây ra sự tăng đáng kể về tỷ lệ thất nghiệp, vì AI chủ yếu là tăng cường chứ không thay thế lao động con người, và các mô hình như Claude Fable 5 vẫn chưa thể hoàn thành độc lập các nhiệm vụ liên quan đến phối hợp giữa con người và giao tiếp trực tiếp. Ông dự đoán ít nhất trong năm tới AI sẽ không gây ảnh hưởng thực chất đến tỷ lệ thất nghiệp chung. Doanh nhân Mark Cuban thì cho rằng AI trong việc hiểu hậu quả hành vi và đánh giá trực tiếp tại hiện trường \"có thể mãi mãi không thể\" vượt trội hơn con người, các doanh nghiệp nên tối đa hóa lợi thế \"hợp tác giữa người và máy\".","category":"技巧观点","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Nhà kinh tế học trưởng của Anthropic: Trong thời gian ngắn, AI sẽ không thay thế nhiều vị trí công việc - Tin tức AI Aioga","description":"Nhà kinh tế trưởng của Anthropic, Peter McElroy, cho biết AI cho đến nay chưa gây ra sự tăng đáng kể về tỷ lệ thất nghiệp, vì AI chủ yếu là tăng cường chứ không thay thế lao động c...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/vi/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:46:35.153Z"},"id":{"title":"Ekonom Kepala Anthropic: Dalam jangka pendek, AI tidak akan menggantikan banyak pekerjaan","summary":"Ekonom kepala Anthropic, Peter McElroy, menyatakan bahwa hingga saat ini AI belum menyebabkan kenaikan signifikan dalam tingkat pengangguran, karena AI lebih banyak memperkuat daripada menggantikan tenaga kerja manusia, dan model seperti Claude Fable 5 masih belum mampu menyelesaikan tugas yang membutuhkan koordinasi antarpribadi dan komunikasi tatap muka secara mandiri. Dia memperkirakan setidaknya dalam satu tahun ke depan, AI tidak akan memberikan dampak nyata terhadap tingkat pengangguran secara keseluruhan. Pengusaha Mark Cuban berpendapat bahwa AI dalam memahami konsekuensi perilaku dan menilai situasi secara real-time 'mungkin tidak akan pernah' melampaui manusia, dan perusahaan harus memaksimalkan keuntungan dari 'kolaborasi manusia-mesin'.","category":"技巧观点","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Ekonom Kepala Anthropic: Dalam jangka pendek, AI tidak akan menggantikan banyak pekerjaan - Berita AI Aioga","description":"Ekonom kepala Anthropic, Peter McElroy, menyatakan bahwa hingga saat ini AI belum menyebabkan kenaikan signifikan dalam tingkat pengangguran, karena AI lebih banyak memperkuat dari...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/id/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:47:13.021Z"},"th":{"title":"หัวหน้านักเศรษฐศาสตร์ของ Anthropic: ในระยะสั้น AI จะไม่แทนที่ตำแหน่งงานจำนวนมาก","summary":"นักเศรษฐศาสตร์อาวุโสของ Anthropic ปีเตอร์ แมคโครลีย์ กล่าวว่า จนถึงตอนนี้ AI ยังไม่ได้ทำให้ระดับการว่างงานเพิ่มขึ้นอย่างมีนัยสำคัญ เนื่องจากมันเป็นการเสริมมากกว่าการแทนที่แรงงานมนุษย์ และโมเดลอย่าง Claude Fable 5 ยังไม่สามารถทำงานในด้านการประสานงานระหว่างบุคคลหรือการสื่อสารแบบตัวต่อตัวได้ด้วยตัวเอง เขาคาดว่าภายในอย่างน้อยหนึ่งปีข้างหน้า AI จะไม่ส่งผลกระทบอย่างมีนัยสำคัญต่ออัตราการว่างงานโดยรวม ขณะที่นักธุรกิจ มาร์ก คูบัน มองว่า AI ในการเข้าใจผลลัพธ์ของพฤติกรรมและการตัดสินใจแบบเรียลไทม์ในสถานที่อาจจะ \"ไม่สามารถ\" เกินกว่ามนุษย์ได้ตลอดไป และบริษัทควรใช้ประโยชน์สูงสุดจากข้อได้เปรียบในการ \"ทำงานร่วมกับเครื่อง\"","category":"技巧观点","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"หัวหน้านักเศรษฐศาสตร์ของ Anthropic: ในระยะสั้น AI จะไม่แทนที่ตำแหน่งงานจำนวนมาก - ข่าว AI Aioga","description":"นักเศรษฐศาสตร์อาวุโสของ Anthropic ปีเตอร์ แมคโครลีย์ กล่าวว่า จนถึงตอนนี้ AI ยังไม่ได้ทำให้ระดับการว่างงานเพิ่มขึ้นอย่างมีนัยสำคัญ เนื่องจากมันเป็นการเสริมมากกว่าการแทนที่แรงงานมนุ...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/th/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:47:26.725Z"},"pl":{"title":"Główny ekonomista Anthropic: W krótkim okresie AI nie zastąpi dużej liczby miejsc pracy","summary":"Główny ekonomista Anthropic, Peter McElroy, stwierdził, że sztuczna inteligencja jak dotąd nie spowodowała wyraźnego wzrostu bezrobocia, ponieważ w większym stopniu wspomaga niż zastępuje pracę ludzką, a modele takie jak Claude Fable 5 nadal nie są w stanie samodzielnie wykonywać zadań związanych z koordynacją międzyludzką czy komunikacją twarzą w twarz. Przewiduje, że przynajmniej w ciągu najbliższego roku sztuczna inteligencja nie będzie miała istotnego wpływu na ogólny poziom bezrobocia. Z kolei przedsiębiorca Mark Cuban uważa, że sztuczna inteligencja w zakresie rozumienia konsekwencji zachowań i bieżącego oceniania sytuacji „może nigdy” nie przewyższyć człowieka, a firmy powinny maksymalizować zalety „współpracy człowiek-komputer”.","category":"技巧观点","source":"IT之家（RSS）","aggregationSource":"IT之家（RSS）","pageTitle":"Główny ekonomista Anthropic: W krótkim okresie AI nie zastąpi dużej liczby miejsc pracy - Aioga Wiadomości AI","description":"Główny ekonomista Anthropic, Peter McElroy, stwierdził, że sztuczna inteligencja jak dotąd nie spowodowała wyraźnego wzrostu bezrobocia, ponieważ w większym stopniu wspomaga niż za...","url":"https://www.aioga.com/pl/news/cmrxkj0ki00bzro7wbj5970ha/","contentTranslated":true,"sourceHash":"73029213f06d8610","translatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:48:15.057Z"}}}}